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AfrEximBank eyeing $600m Ethiopia potash deal

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Pictured above:  AfrEximBank President Jean-Louis Ekra,. ANDUALEM SISA| NATION MEDIA GROUP

 

By ANDUALEM SISAY in Addis Ababa | Thursday, June 20  2013

The African Export-Import Bank (AfrEximBank) has indicated intentions to finance $600 million potash project in Ethiopia.

The bank is currently conducting its annual meeting and celebrating its 20th anniversary in Addis Ababa.

“In Ethiopia, we are at the moment looking at potash project. It is about $600 million and we are still at the preliminary stage, but we are positive about that,” said Denys Denya, AfrEximBank’s Executive Vice-President for Finance, Administration and Banking Services.

Potash is one of the main components in fertiliser production.

A total of eight companies have explored the Danakil depression in the Afar region of northern Ethiopia for potash.

Currently, Allana Potash Corporation of Canadian is working on a $642 million potash mine project in Ethiopia.

According to information from the Geological Survey of Ethiopia, Alana Potash plc has drilled more than 30 holes and identified a deposit of 673 million tons measured and 596 million tons inferred.

Power project

Research by Green Markets, a fertiliser industry information provider, shows that globally, potash production capacity was estimated to rise 38 per cent to 96.5 million metric tonnes by 2017 with the demand rising 26 per cent to 66 million tonnes.

Currently, the priority financing areas of AfrEximBank are agribusiness, transport and hospitality services.

“Our appetite at the moment is agribusiness where we can add value and we encourage investors in this area to approach us, especially in countries like Ethiopia,” Mr Danya told the African Review.

“It is our intention to continue to develop our activities in East Africa,” said Mr Jean-Louis Ekra, the President and Chairman of the Board of Directors at AfrEximBank.

“We have a couple of projects on course. We have been invited to look at some windmill electricity project here in Ethiopia.

We have been also been looking at financing a small power project with the involvement of China’s Exim Bank,” Mr Ekra added.

AfrEximBank is currently financing different projects in East Africa, including large sugar project in Sudan and coffee development in Uganda.

In addition, the bank is also at the final stage of financing power project in Tanzania with other financial institutions, according to Mr.Denya.

Over the past 20 years, AfrEximBank has been providing 85 per cent of its total financing to private sector, with the remainder going to the public sector.



Allana receives green light for 11 bln birr loan

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By Asrat Seyoum and Dawit Taye

Allana Potash, a Vancouver-based mining company listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange, is set to acquire financing for its mammoth potash mining project in Danakil Depression in the Afar Regional State of Ethiopia in the order of 11.1 billion birr from the little-known-in-Ethiopia Africa Export/Import Bank-Afreximbank. It is the largest loan to be approved for a private entity in Ethiopia to date.

Officials of Afreximbank, who were in Addis Ababa last week celebrating the Bank’s 20-year anniversary, told journalists that the Bank is reviewing a loan proposal for one of the two giant potash projects in the Danakil Depression while refraining from divulging the name of the company. However, The Reporter’s sources close to the Vancouver company on the other hand revealed that Allana has received the green light to secure the loan from the stated institution. Dubbed Dallol Potash the project is comprised of four concessions stretching 312 square kilometers in the North-Eastern part of the Danakil Depression, an area known for small-scale mining activities.

From  2010 to 2012 Allana completed a comprehensive exploration program including camp construction, diamond drilling, a 2D seismic survey and water drilling, according to information posted on the company’s website. Furthermore, citing preliminary results obtained so far, it has presented a feasibility study to the Ministry of Mines for which it is expecting a positive feedback. According to the study, in the initial stages the company would start with the production of the one million tonnes per year with planned expansion of additional one million tonnes every year. The study is also useful in terms of upgrading Allana’s exploration license to a mining license.

The company should obtain the mining license in order to move forward with its activities. The company needs mining license before advancing into construction of the factory plant and other transportation infrastructures. Among the major railway projects that Ethiopia has in the pipeline the one that connects the potash region of the depression to the port in Djibouti is one. The construction of large warehouse facilities and the temporary road network that runs from Dallol to Afdera (the major salt producing area of Ethiopia) where it connects with another road which stretches to Djibouti will also be some of the major civil projects awaiting the company.

According to the tentative schedule, the first shipment is due to leave the country by 2014.

In a related news, Afreximbank has also extended a credit facility to Kenyan Airways to the tune of USD 1.96 billion for aircraft acquisition, officials of the Bank also announced. The facility is mainly slotted to finance the acquisition of nine Boeing 787-800 (Dreamliners), one 777-300ER and 10 Embraer-190 aircraft.

The officials added that the first remittance-backed loan facility in the continent was provided to the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia by Afreximbank in collaboration with Citibank a little while back.

Apart from Kenya and Ethiopia the Bank is also active in the Sudan, Uganda and Tanzania. The Bank also is actively engaged in West Africa, particularly with cocoa trade, the hospitality industry and providing a credit line to commercial banks.


Growing Pains in Fertiliser Drive

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By Yetneberk Tadele, 23 June 2013

Even though farmers have reaped the benefits in earlier crop seasons by applying fertilisers, its current price and limited access to credit prohibit them from repeating the previous trend.

Farmers are recommended to use one quintal of DAP and one quintal of Urea for a hectare of land in which the quantity varies based on the type of the soil.

Already in the midst of a long vacation, following the 10th grade national exam, Getachew Beyene, a 24-year-old farmer, was doing, on Tuesday, June 18, 2013, what he has been doing since the age of 10 – ploughing his Father’s farm.

Getachew is the youngest of 11 children in a sizable family. Beyene, his father, is a farmer in Zegula, one of the 25 kebeles in Dangla Wereda, 486Km North-West of Addis Abeba, in the Amhara Regional State.

A week ago, Getachew was ploughing the family’s 3.5ha of land, off the highway, a few kilometres on route to Bahir Dar from Dangla. The family predominantly harvests teff, sorghum and corn, each producing no less than 10 quintals a year.

Getachew is the last of Beyene’s children still living with his family. He, too, may be gone come September, if he scores sufficiently well in the national exam. On Tuesday, he was doing the farm work assisted by a hired hand, who is paid 50 Br a day.

His departure, though, will not come before he has made sure that all the farm land has been ploughed and sowed on.

Last week, was far too early to start sowing and using the big booster fertiliser – a component agricultural extension workers across the country are pushing farmers to use, in order to increase the nation’s productivity.

Poor growth in agricultural productivity was a source of disappointment among leaders of the ruling EPRDF party, during their March congress, in Bahir Dar, Amhara’s capital, 88Km north of where Getachew lives. The 6.95pc growth achieved in 2011/12 was only half the amount the government had planned for. This has led to political pressure on extension workers to push farmers to employ harvest increasing methods.

The use of fertilisers and selected seeds are two of the methods used regularly by farmers across the country. Yet to be distributed, the Zegula Kebele Farmers Cooperative has 2,500ql of fertiliser, manufactured in Saudi Arabia by Ma’aden Phosphate Company, and supplied to Ethiopia by Ameropa AG, from its warehouse. The amount is lower, by 500ql, than last year’s, because there was excess from the previous year’s supply, but the warehouse keepers believe that the zone’s Agriculture Bureau has supplied them with enough product, in time for the farming season. They have also received seed for maize, which is priced at 197 Br for 14Kg.

The Cooperative, to which the Beyene family belongs, has 2,500 members. Its warehouse is located approximately one kilometre from the family farm. The family may buy five quintals of fertiliser for the current season, out of the total of 977,000 availed to farmers, nationally.

In another part of the country, a farmer – who enjoyed a bigger harvest last year, using fertiliser – is prepping his farm for yet another round of use. Kassa Mamo, a father of six, lives in Adulala Hate Haroreti kebele, in Eastern Oromia. He attributes his 40ql harvest to applying fertiliser on his two-hectare farm. This farming season he intends to lease two more hectares from the neighbourhood.

When the local development agent appeared at his door to advise on the use of fertilisers, Kassa readily indicated that he was acquiring four quintals each of DAP and Urea, although he would later rethink the quantity.

The planning process of fertiliser import begins with an assessment of demand, for the next agricultural year, at a local level. The wereda Agricultural Bureau collects data on expected local fertiliser demand, which is provided by agricultural extension workers, working at the kebele level.

The current season has come with a little surprise for Kassa; last year he said he bought DAP for 1,440 Br a quintal and Urea for 1,100 Br (the Union gives slightly higher prices for both: 1,457 Br and 1,175 Br, respectively). He is now concerned that he will have to pay 64 Br and 113 Br more, for DAP and Urea, respectively (using the Union’s figures, he will actually be paying 47 Br more for DAP and 38 Br more for Urea). He said this difference is too much for him, despite his increased production last year because of the fertiliser. Having failed to get a loan from his neighbours, he says, he has decided to reduce his fertiliser order by half.

“Sadly, I have decided to sow other kinds of crops that do not need fertilisers on two hectares, where I was prepared to sow teff,” he told Fortune.

The Erer Farmers’ Cooperative Union, from which Kassa’s fertiliser demand will be served, has four member cooperatives: Ade’a, Liben, Ginbichu and Akaki. The farmers’ cooperatives in these weredas get their agricultural inputs from the Union.

Based on the demand assessment collected by the wereda’s Agriculture Bureau, the Federal Agricultural Inputs Supply Enterprise (AISE) has availed 8,1569ql of DAP and 4,6635ql of Urea, for the 2013/14 season in addition to the last year’s leftover, across the four cooperatives, according to Mekonen Haile, manager of the Union.

The Union’s store at Adama is currently selling a quintal of DAP for 1,504 Br and a quintal of Urea for 1,213 Br, although the price goes up when the distance increases, according to Mekonnen.

The price escalation is attributed to the fertiliser that was transferred from the previous year’s stock by the Union. The Union has 29,204ql of DAP and 12,617ql of Urea in the store, transferred from the previous year.

“We are paying the bank 11.4 Br a month in credit interest, as well as one Birr warehouse fees, a month for each quintal. That leads us to have to recalculate our expenses on the current price of the fertiliser,” Mekonen said.

In addition to the 477,000tns of fertiliser imported this year, the Federal Agricultural Inputs Supply Enterprise has 500,000tns in store from last year. However, the Ade’a Union managed to deliver only 55pc of the supply, as of Monday, June 17, 2013.

“When the farmers notice that there will be a change in the weather condition, they alter the type of seed they sow and reduce the amount of fertiliser they have requested”, says Kebede Tulu, production capacity building team leader at Ade’a Wereda Agricultural Bureau, in explaining the problem.

A study, conducted in 2012, by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) on the supply and distribution of fertiliser in Ethiopia, indicates that regional holding companies, such as – Ambassel, Guna, Wondo, and Dinsho; Cooperative Unions and private companies were involved, alongside the AISE, in the import and distribution of fertiliser, following market liberalisation in Ethiopia. However, following the changes in 2008, when the AISE became the sole importer, the role of the Unions is now limited to distribution, from central warehouses to primary cooperatives.

The study found mixed views about giving the monopoly of power to the AISE. While the centralised procurement system has proved useful, with respect to ensuring the allocation of foreign exchange and timely fertiliser procurement, many cooperative leaders thought that centralised importing through the AISE had increased fertiliser costs.

The AISE supplies the fertilisers it has imported to Unions in the country, based on their demands.

“However, regions have their own strategies to sell the fertiliser,” Sayfu Aseffa, agricultural inputs loan senior expert at the Enterprise, says. “Except Oromia Region, which decided not to sell on credit, two years ago, the Southern Region requires 25pc to 50pc down payment. Amhara Region makes credit sales only for dry areas and Tigray Region gives credit for those who cannot afford to buy.”

Getachew, in Amhara, finds himself in the region where full payment is required.

“They could have at least offered us half the amount on credit,” Getachew told Fortune, as he unyoked Boren and Jember, the names by which the pair of farm oxen go in his family.

According to Seyfu, it has been very challenging for the government to collect the credit given to the farmers, with a lot of money yet to be collected in many regions.

In 2011/12, the AISE imported 560,000tns of DAP and 328tns of Urea, for a total of 8.4 billion Br; this year it reduced its imports significantly, to 350,000tns of DAP and 127,000tns of Urea, for a total of 2.6 billion Br, because of product left over from the previous year.

The price at the central store in Addis Abeba is 1252 Br, for DAP, and 980 Br for Urea fertiliser, a quintal.

According to the IFPRI’s study, farmers have claimed that they could not afford fertiliser at current prices. They said that fertiliser prices have been increasing since 2009, with credit being extremely limited and cash sales openly promoted by cooperatives and agriculture officials.

“Does the farmer have enough money to buy all the fertiliser he needs?” asks an expert at the Agricultural Transformation Agency (ATA), adding that a survey by the Agency had indicated that there was a decline in fertiliser consumption in Oromia and the Southern regions, following the strict cash sale.

The Agency and the Ministry of Agriculture are currently working on reintroducing fertiliser credit sales using microfinance institutions.

Until then, farmers, such as Getachew and Kassa will either have to come up with the cash or abstain from using fertiliser, even though they have apparently already reaped the benefits in earlier crop seasons.


Ethiopia builds infrastructure for growth

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CNN Marketplace Africa looks at how an increase in construction projects is driving change in Ethiopia.

Source: CNN


Ethiopia Launches Land Administration to Nurture Development Program

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US National Security Memorandum: paramount imp...

 

In collaboration with the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) Ethiopian government launches Land Administration to Nurture Development (LAND) program

In two previous USAID and Ministry of Agriculture projects carried out from 2005-2013, farmers in selected pilot test regions benefited from greater transparency and predictability regarding land use through land mapping with GIS technology, the issuance of land certificates, and the development of land laws and local systems to resolve land disputes.  The program builds on previous USAID land projects and will reach more regions than before. 

As a result, the farmers, including women food producers, invested more in the land and productivity increased.  The new LAND initiative builds on the lessons learned and progress achieved under these two previous projects and will focus on the Amhara, Afar, Oromia, Tigray, Somali, and Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples Regions.

The Ministry of Agriculture and technical experts from LAND will work with the Ethiopian Mapping Agency and rural land administration agencies of the six regional states mentioned above to strengthen their land governance and administration practices and policies.  

The key areas of focus are improve legal and regulatory frameworks for rural land tenure and property rights, bolster the skills of judges, and expand educational programs on land management. It also aims strengthen the governance of land including land use planning, leasing, and dispute resolution and training for regional surveyors. 

While at the same time plans to enhance communal land management and use rights, including water, for pastoral and agro-pastoral communities to improve linkages with markets, diversify assets and promote improved livelihoods. 

LAND will also improve policies and practices for the conservation of natural resources and equitable access to land for women and rural youth.  Achievement of these goals will contribute to Ethiopia’s implementation of the UN Committee for World Food Security’s “Voluntary Guidelines for the Tenure of Land Fisheries and Forests.”

USAID Mission Director Dennis Weller discussed the strategic importance of land management to national development at the event: “Transparent and well-planned administration of land is critical to investments in food production, to equitable growth in the agriculture sector, to conservation of natural resources, and, last but not least, to peace and progress for the vast number of Ethiopian women and men who reside and work in rural areas.”


Hunger Costs Ethiopian Economy Billions of Dollars

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By Lisa Schlein

Hunger costs Ethiopia billions of dollars in yearly economic losses, according to a new study. Led by the African Union Commission, the UN World Food Program (WFP) and Ethiopian government agencies, it says reducing under-nutrition will save lives and boost Ethiopia’s struggling economy.

The study shows Ethiopia lost an estimated $4.7 billion in 2009 because of child under-nutrition. This is equivalent to 16.5 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product.

Currently, the report finds more than two out of every five children in Ethiopia are stunted and more than 80 percent of all cases of child under-nutrition go untreated. It says malnutrition in Ethiopia causes more than 20 percent of child deaths. It says these deaths have reduced Ethiopia’s workforce by eight percent.

Under-nutrition is a huge drain on the country’s economy, said WFP spokeswman Elizabeth Byrs.

“The study estimates that Ethiopia could reduce losses by $12.5 billion by 2025 if it reduces underweight rates to five percent and stunting to 10 percent,” Byrs said.

Stunted children in primary education have a higher-grade repetition rate than non-stunted children, according to the report. In addition, it says stunted children in Ethiopia also are more likely to drop out of school.

Byrs noted stunting does not end with childhood, but remains a life-long problem with long-term consequences for both the individual and the society. The report says nearly 70 percent of adults in Ethiopia have suffered from stunting as children, which means more than 26 million people of working age have not been able to achieve their potential.

For example, adults who suffered from stunting as children are less likely to do heavy manual jobs because they tend to have lower body mass, resulting in a loss of income. The study said these adults have a high rate of absenteeism from their jobs.

The ramifications of under-nutrition are so serious that the Ethiopian government recently launched a half-billion dollar National Nutrition Program to tackle this issue, said Byrs.

“The program of the government, in tight cooperation with WFP, will provide supplementary feeding and nutrition vitamins to young children since the pregnancy until the age of five to be sure during the first 1,000 days those children get sufficient nutriments and vitamins to avoid stunting,” she said.

The program, which is due to last two-and-one half years, will also increase school feeding schemes. Byrs added support programs for pregnant and lactating women will be developed in health centres and hospitals.


Is the private sector to blame for cargo sitting for so long in African ports?

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BY

A major factor holding back African development is the time it takes to transport goods within the continent.

Containers at the Port of Durban. Photo by Christophe Badoux.

Containers at the Port of Durban. Photo by Christophe Badoux.

 

Though road conditions are poor in much of sub-Saharan Africa, research has shown that ports are major contributors to transport delays: cargo travelling from a port to a city in a landlocked sub-Saharan African country generally spends more of its time (75%) at the port than on the road. Cargo spends nearly three weeks, on average, in sub-Saharan African ports, compared to under a week in large ports in Asia, Europe and Latin America. This has hurt the region’s economies and deterred the development of value-added industries that rely on time-sensitive supply chains.

While some of the blame for these delays rests with insufficient infrastructure and government inefficiency, it turns out that private-sector behaviour may be responsible for key aspects of the problem. In the World Bank research, to be presented at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) next week, we show that a large portion of dwell time can be explained by collusion between controlling agencies, port authorities, private terminal operators, logistics operators, and some shippers. This suggests that governments and donors hoping to make trade more efficient in Africa should look beyond big infrastructure projects and instead work to disrupt the private sector’s collusive, short-term strategies in port use and operations.

A common assumption holds that the private sector (the terminal operator, customs broker, owner of container depots, shipper) has an interest in reducing the amount of time cargo sits in ports. This idea has led the international community to champion such solutions to port delays as privatisation of container terminal operations and increased investment in cranes, deep-water berths and other infrastructure improvements. But a close examination of ports in six sub-Saharan African countries – paired with original data from firm surveys – suggests that the same importers, brokers and port operators often have an interest in maintaining practices that contribute to port delays.

The data shows that the bulk of port delays come from transaction and storage time, rather than poor handling or operational issues. Importers in sub-Saharan Africa often have strong incentives to use ports as storage areas. At the Douala port in Cameroon, for example, the port – not external storage facilities – is the cheapest option for an importer storing goods up to 22 days. This causes congestion and inefficient use of port space. In addition, terminal operators, who earn large revenues from storage, also benefit from long waits and have little incentive to reduce dwell time.

Firm surveys also show that companies may use long dwell times as a strategic tool to prevent competition, similar to a predatory pricing mechanism. Incumbent traders and importers, as well as customs agencies, terminal operators and owners of warehouses, see a benefit to long cargo dwell time because it generates additional profits by acting as a strong barrier to entry for international traders and manufacturers. The most important losers are the consumers, who have to pay the price of multiple rents.

One example of good practices that emerged from the research was the case of the Durban Port in South Africa, which is state-run. There, the port authority and customs administration put pressure on the private sector to reduce delays. Among the steps they took were to levy prohibitive charges for storage, strictly enforce storage limits, and offer the option of pre-clearing goods with customs before arriving at the port. These measures, as well as strategies enacted by a public-private port committee, helped transform the port. In the 1990s, it was notorious for long berthing times, queues of trucks waiting for cargo, and an overall dwell time of six to seven days. Today, 90% of the cargo at the Durban Port is cleared within three days, and the average dwell time has been reduced to four days.

The case studies, survey data, and evidence from the Durban port turn-around suggest that donors should re-think trade facilitation intervention strategies in sub-Saharan Africa. Rather than focus on large infrastructure projects or changing ownership of container terminal operations, reform should address some of the perverse incentives for harmful private-sector behaviour.

Indeed, governments will need to recognise that large-scale investments in infrastructure are not sufficient to reduce logistics delays and can even be harmful by perpetuating bad incentives. Decreasing dwell times in ports will ultimately require governments to combat collusive practices between some private sector actors – importers, brokers and operators – and some civil servants in customs and controlling agencies and port authorities.

This article was co-written by Gaël Raballand, senior economist for the World Bank Africa region, and Julia Oliver, communications consultant for the World Bank’s International Trade Department.


Kenya seeks ‘modern mining act’ within three months

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As Ethiopia prepares to reduce mining tax from 35% to 25% here  -  

http://allanapotashblog.org/2013/06/15/government-to-slash-mining-income-tax/   

 

By Adam Green  

Kenya’s government lays out strategy and timeline for a new mining act, in a bid to deepen the natural resource sector in east Africa’s biggest economy

Kenya might have avoided the ‘resource curse’ which has afflicted many of its African peers, but the government has huge public spending plans and needs revenues to realise them. Resources are set to play an important role.

The oil and gas sector has already started opening up, with Tullow Oil handing over $6.3m in taxes last year and spending over $28m on local suppliers for its promising exploration work. The mining sector is next, as the government scraps a 1940s-era mining code drafted by the British colonisers, and aims to pass a new act within 3 months to attract investment.

 

 Najib Balala T

“We have an old mining code which is giving power to an individual rather than to a process, and the process is first come first served, which is ridiculous because there is no transparent mechanism [for allocation],” says Najib Balala, cabinet secretary for Mining – a newly created position, as Kenya has never had a mining minister post before. “Before, the commissioner of mines and geology had any power, any time”.

Mr Balala believes Kenya likely has the same natural resource potential as its neighbours. “We have not done a proper airborne survey,” he explains. “We don’t know what we have. We rely on the old mines of 1940s, from the British time. Every day we are realising our neighbours have quite a number of resources, why not Kenya? We share the same greenstone belt, the Mozambique belt.”

Momentum behind a new mining act began with the previous government, but they were slow to act, complains Mr Balala. “They announced 2 years ago they have legislation for publication. We come in, it has not been done. I’ve made it my personal determination that within three months I will get it done.”

Kenya’s new government – led by Uhuru Kenyatta – has made waves in the business community for their reportedly no-nonsense, pro-business approach. Their political agenda is ambitious. “We have a new constitution that has changed the entire system of government, then we have legislation that is changing the departmental legislation of the mining sector,” says Mr Balala.

Growth in natural resources could deliver the kinds of quick revenues which could help government tackle critical public goods deficits, especially in infrastructure. Despite a decentralisation agenda in the new constitution, the new draft mining act will still see 75 percent of mining tax revenues go to central government for the “bigger agenda”, says Mr Balala, with 20 percent going to county governments, and 5 percent to communities directly affected with the mine.

While acknowledging the government’s need for this money, Mr Balala emphasises a gradual, consultative approach. “We have an 18-month transition, and I am going to create a window of dialogue. If you are an existing company, here for a long time, you have big issues, or you have different contracts with government, bring them on the table. Let’s look at them.”

He adds that reforms will bring stability and limit the discretionary powers of government. “We will know how many years before we review royalties, and not change the rules of the game in mid-stream,” he pledges.

The new mining act is currently in cabinet, due for approval in the next two weeks, Mr Balala says, and it will be taken to parliament ‘within 3 months’. By early November, he hopes legislation will be in place, to take effect in July 2014.  But as Mr Balala notes, previous attempts to pass such a ruling have been stymied in the past, and it remains to be seen what impact the ongoing International Criminal Court investigation in Uhuru Kenyatta, the new president, could have on the government’s priorities.



G8 urges Africa to invest more in farming, nutrition

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By The Guardian

Tanzania and other African governments have been urged to invest more in agriculture and nutrition to ensure food security in their countries.
The call was made by Bill Gates in a telephone interview with journalists from different countries at the G8 summit.
Image representing Bill Gates as depicted in C...

 

“Africans must hold their leaders accountable for the commitments they make. Ten years ago African governments agreed to spend 10 percent of their budgets on agriculture during the Maputo Declaration through Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) hence we call on them to meet those pledges,” he said.
According to Bill Gates, during the first 1,000 days from a mother’s pregnancy until her child’s second birthday, if they don’t get appropriate nutrition the brain development never recovers.
“No matter what you invest in the education of a child, they will not achieve their potential and neither will their countries,” said Bill Gates He said investments in agriculture and nutrition can be the breakthrough force towards development, “if we do this together we can crack the hunger and poverty cycle that leaves families trapped for generations. We have seen this happen before our eyes in Latin America, Brazil while in Africa there is Ethiopia, Senegal and in Asia Bangladesh and India to some extent.”
He added: “We are asking donor countries to follow the agenda being set by African leaders. This is a transformational shift in development agenda as we focus on what African leaders prioritise via CAADP/SUN, rather than the continuation of donor countries putting funds where they want.”
From 1960s to 1980s, the “Green Revolution” in Asia and Latin America a sweeping effort to transform farming methods and improve staple crops such as maize, wheat, and rice helped to double food production and saved hundreds of millions of lives.
Many governments and donors subsequently shifted their attention to other concerns, believing that the problem of inadequate food supply in the developing world had been solved. This was not the case in Sub-Saharan Africa, however, where some Green Revolution approaches were tried but failed.
Meanwhile, in the intervening years, population growth, rising incomes, dwindling natural resources, and a changing climate have caused food prices to rise and agricultural productivity has once again become strained.
Many of those affected are smallholder farmers. Three quarters of the world’s poorest people get their food and income by farming small plots of land about the size of a football field.
Most of them barely get by while struggling with unproductive soil, plant diseases, pests, and drought. Their livestock are frequently weak or sick. Reliable markets for their products and information about pricing are hard to come by and still government policies rarely serve their interests well.
These factors, in turn, put millions of families at risk of poverty and hunger as well as malnutrition, the world’s most serious health problem and the single biggest contributor to child mortality.
At the same time, one consequence of the first Green Revolution excessive fertilizer use leading to water pollution underscores the importance of sustainability to safeguard both environmental and human health.
Helping farmers increase production in a sustainable way, and sell more crops, is the most effective way to reduce hunger and poverty over the long term. Dairy farmers in Bangladesh are benefiting from programmes that help them increase production and improve veterinary care.
Helping farmers improve their yields requires a comprehensive approach that includes the use of seeds that are more resistant to diseases, drought, and flooding.
Agricultural development must also address gender disparities. In Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, women are vital contributors to farm work, but because they have less access to improved seeds, better techniques and technologies, and markets, yields on their plots are typically 20 to 40 percent lower than on plots farmed by men. Addressing this gap can help households become more productive and reduce malnutrition within poor families.

 


Addis plays the long game

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Over the last five years, Ethiopia’s diplomatic engagement with its East African neighbours appears to have taken on a new urgency with wide-ranging agreements on transport corridors and energy sharing. But, as Wanjohi Kabukuru reports, this is just one plank of Ethiopia’s carefully worked-out master plan to sustain its double-digit growth.

           

In March 2012, the late Ethiopian Premier Meles Zenawi accompanied South Sudanese President Salva Kiir and the then Kenyan President, Mwai Kibaki, to Magogoni in Lamu County in Kenya.

Their mission was to lay the foundation stone of the $24.7bn Lamu Port South Sudan Ethiopia Transport (Lapsset) corridor, which will seamlessly connect the three nations by railway, road and oil pipelines.

The Ethiopian leader did not mince his words: “It is not hyperbolic to say we are making history today. We are making history because as countries wracked by poverty, this project reflects our commitment to chart our own economic development.”

A day earlier, then Kenyan Transport Minister Amos Kimunya and his Ethiopian counterpart Deriba Heiy had signed an agreement committing the two countries to the construction of a standard-gauge railway line from Lamu to Addis Ababa.

Also signed on that day was an agreement to construct the Garsen-Isiolo road to make an international trunk road similar to the Mombasa-Nairobi-Malaba road, to be fast tracked so it would connect Addis to Mombasa Port as the Lamu Port construction got under way.

Before they flew to Lamu, the two leaders had finalised a 25-year power-purchase agreement (PPA) for some 2,000 MW of electricity. Ethiopia, with its surplus energy ranked second only to DR Congo in hydropower potential, is planning to sell 40% of its annual power output to its neighbours Kenya, Djibouti, Sudan and South Sudan.

In April, the Ethiopia-Kenya electricity deal – a 1,070 km power line – became a reality when the World Bank released $684m on top of the African Development Bank’s (AfDB) $338m and the French aid agency, Agence Française de Développement’s (AFD) $118m for the project.

Kenya and Ethiopia are providing the remaining $88m and $32m respectively to cover the entire $1.26bn cost of the power line from Wolayta-Sodo in Ethiopia to Suswa in Kenya.

These bilateral moves are part of a new strategy, adopted some five years ago by Addis Ababa to engage more with its neighbours, particularly on matters relating to trade and commerce. Ethiopia’s resilience and ability to adapt to the realities of the day reveals sobriety and a sense of forward looking in its leadership. This can be deduced when one goes back 20 years into history. In 1993 Eritrea, through a referendum, seceded from Ethiopia, prompting a new agreement between Asmara and Addis over the usage of Eritrea’s two main port cities of Assab and Massawa.

This was because Eritrea’s independence had rendered Ethiopia a landlocked nation. Owing to hostilities between the two countries, which escalated in 1998 with bloody border skirmishes, Addis was forced to reconsider possible sea routes. Port Sudan was considered as an option even though it was 1,829 km from Addis Ababa. The port of Djibouti, on the other hand, was only 780 km away.

Since 1998, the bulk of Ethiopia’s goods, estimated to be 98% of Addis’s maritime traffic, have been handled by Djibouti Port. For the 15 years that Addis Ababa has heavily relied on it, Ethiopian importers have bitterly complained of the higher tariffs levied on all their imports and exports.

For some time, Addis has been using Port Sudan irrespective of distance and political differences as the levies charged were friendlier.

Early this year Ethiopia announced that the 100 km Ethiopia- Sudan Highway link from Asosa in Ethiopia to Kumruk in Sudan was complete and open to traffic. This highway, constructed by the Chinese, became the second road to connect to Sudan, complementing the Metemma-Port Sudan highway.

In March, Addis Ababa signed new construction deals for major highways to connect it to Sudan, South Sudan and Kenya, covering 260km in Gambella, South People’s and Oromia states.

Diplomacy at its best

How Ethiopia, the biggest economy in the Horn of Africa, has had to deal with its neighbours to access the sea ports is a tale of diplomacy at its best. A critical assessment of Ethiopia’s infrastructure development in the last decade shows a robust engagement with its neighbours regarding transport corridors.

In 2005 Ethiopia reached out to the Somaliland administration to explore possibilities of using Berbera Port, 933 km from Addis Ababa. Ethiopia’s trade interaction with Kenya and Somalia, both of which have sea ports, has remained constrained owing to poor road connections. No wonder Zenawi was enthusiastic about Kenya’s Lapsset.

When he died, many regional watchers expected a complete change in Addis Ababa’s regional intentions and economic policies. Ethiopia and Kenya pursue political and economic ideologies that are poles apart.

Why would the Ethiopian leadership seek more economic ties with Kenya? It is no secret that the Kenyan business community harbours expansionist ambitions.

Leading Kenyan finance sector players in the insurance and banking segments have already shown that hunger with footprints all over the region. It is the same with some of its leading manufacturers, notably cement and edible oils manufacturers, who have not hidden the fact that they are interested in the large Ethiopian market.

Zenawi’s successor, Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn simply pursued what Zenawi had envisaged. Of particular interest to Desalegn is Zenawi’s ideal to bring about the realisation of Lapsset.

One month after being inaugurated as Premier of Ethiopia, Desalegn visited Nairobi and met then President Kibaki in November 2012. The issue of Lapsset and trade between the two nations was discussed at length.

A fortnight after Kenya’s fourth President, Uhuru Kenyatta, had been sworn in, Desalegn became the first head of state to visit Kenya. His April 2013 visit echoed the 50-year friendship between Kenya and Ethiopia, which started when Emperor Haile Selassie became the first head of state to visit the new Kenyan leader Jomo Kenyatta (President Uhuru’s father).

At the meeting with President Kenyatta, Lapsset and Somalia security featured prominently in discussions. “Within the framework of cooperation for mutual benefit, we have also conferred on the modalities of actualising the Lapsset project as part of our common destiny, as neighbours and a region,” President Kenyatta stated.

Addis Ababa is now seeking Russian help to construct its 587km southern line, which will connect to Kenya’s 940km northeastern line that converges with the Moyale-Isiolo-Lamu line in the Lapsset corridor.

Vision for the region

Desalegn, mentored by Zenawi, is well versed in his vision. Even though the Ethiopian economy is strictly state controlled, with foreign investors barred from telecommunications, retailing, banking, insurance, media and energy, Desalegn granted Kenyan companies ‘most favoured status’ to enter the Ethiopian market.

Even though Ethiopia is the largest economy in the Horn of Africa, trade with Kenya is heavily lopsided in favour of Kenya with Nairobi’s exports totalling $60m, while Kenya imported goods worth a paltry $2m in 2011. This could change when the country’s massive transport upgrade programme is completed. Ethiopia is constructing 5,060km of electric railways and a light rail. China Rail Engineering Corporation has begun work on the light rail project, part of Ethiopia’s Climate Resilient Green Economy Strategy (CRGES). It is also engaged in the first phase of the Addis Ababa-Djibouti Railway line.

China Rail Engineering Corporation and China Civil Engineering Construction Corporation, with a Turkish firm Yapi Merkezi are undertaking the construction of the 752km Addis Ababa-Djibouti line. Perhaps it is time for Ethiopia’s neighbours to “Wake up and smell the coffee”.

 

 


Africa Strives to Move from Reducing to Eradicating Hunger

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Monday, 01 July 2013 – NewBusinessEthiopia.com

 

African Ministers and other senior officials meeting at the African Union in Addis Ababa agreed to achieve development and eradicate hunger.

 

The ministers met in the framework of the High Level Meeting of African and international leaders to end hunger in the continent. The meeting is conducted ahead of the meeting of African Union Heads of State and Government tomorrow, under the theme “New, unified approaches to end hunger in Africa”.

The will to promote food security in Africa motivated the African Union, FAO and the Lula Institute to partner for a unified approach to end hunger in Africa by 2025 within the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) framework. About 15 Heads of State and Government positively responded to the invitation from the AU, FAO and Lula Institute to participate in the event and add value to CAADP by sharing knowledge on investment to vulnerable people.

The positive response from the Heads of State is important because there is growing consensus on the continent that strong political commitment is required for Africa to effectively strengthen resilience and eradicate hunger. Through CAADP, Africa has the foundation on which to build sustainable solutions to hunger, the Ministers said.

Ending Hunger

The HLM is gathering experiences from different African and non-African countries, such as Malawi, Angola, Ethiopia, Niger, China, Vietnam and Brazil. Combining investment in agriculture with social protection policies and inclusive growth development, many countries have managed to reduce hunger and poverty. Brazil has lifted 36 million people out of extreme poverty in the past ten years.

“Hunger will not be eradicated unless we include the poor in the government budget. I am convinced that ending hunger will only be possible if transformed into a state policy. The commitment of civil society is also important to the success of this process,” said founder and honorary President of Lula Institute, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

“I’m certain that every country in Africa and in the world can end hunger if they include the poor in their national budget. Economic growth alone is not enough,” emphasized Lula.

The AUC Commissioner for Rural Economy and Agriculture, Mrs. Tumusiime Rhoda Peace, said: “The CAADP Framework is steadily gaining recognition as a comprehensive, multi-sector approach for boosting production and productivity, and also for improving resilience and food security, by scaling up agricultural investment and increasing economic opportunities for entire populations. It is, therefore advocated that CAADP provides the platform for building and facilitating the renewed partnerships as well as technically backstopping a unified approach for scaling up hunger eradication efforts at all implementation levels.”

On his part, Director-General of FAO, Mr. Graziano da Silva, stressed: “We can win the war against hunger only if we work together. This meeting in Addis Ababa will support our efforts by transforming political will into further and coordinated action”.

The Renewed Partnership has the intention to contribute to the CAADP agenda. The synergy from combining CAADP with its renewed momentum and social protection under the partnership for Unified Approaches to End Hunger in Africa would justify the ambition to achieve the following objectives:

-Eliminate hunger and poverty by 2025, in the same timeframe as for the Sustaining CAADP Momentum (SCM);

-In the countries implementing the partnership’s approach, reduce hunger by 40 percent by 2017;

-Improve access to food all year round, reducing the need for external food aid within 10 years;

-Prioritize defeat of stunting, especially in children under 2 years, and to provide nutrition of pregnant women and young children;

-Double the productivity of staples within 5 to 10 years, without compromising the sustainability of farming systems; and

-Reduce food waste and losses to levels no worse than global averages, with the ambition to minimise them.

Promising Expectations

Despite most countries in Africa experiencing economic growth of unprecedented proportions as well as improved governance and human development indicators in the last decade, the continent has 239 million undernourished people, representing nearly a quarter of the entire population.

The High Level meeting is expected to agree upon and commit to a set of principles, policies and strategies with a focus on strategies for eradicating hunger. Key among them will be support to integrate purpose-specific food-security and social-development strategies and actions into CAADP investment plans.

 

 


Africa can follow Brazil’s lead in battle to eradicate hunger, says Lula

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Former Brazil president Inácio Lula da Silva says subsistence agriculture must be abolished for African countries to end hunger

 

in Addis Ababa

guardian.co.uk,  Monday 1 July 2013                

Brazil Fome Zero
Reaching out … Guaribas in north Brazil.
Ending subsistence farming is key to addressing hunger, says Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Photograph: Dario Lopez-Mills/AP

Subsistence agriculture must be abolished if African countries want to eradicate hunger by 2025, the former president of Brazil, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, told a meeting in Addis Ababa on Sunday.

In a rousing speech to open a conference of African ministers and international leaders, Lula said Africa could end hunger if there was enough political will to embed the needs of poor people in national policy.

“It’s necessary for us to put in the minds and hearts of people to produce … [and] have access to technology and modern machinery to increase their productivity. Brazil overcame this idea that citizens only grow for their subsistence. They have to have excess to sell,” he told the conference at the African Union.

Drawing on Brazil’s Fome Zero (zero hunger) programme, Lula said his country’s successes could be repeated elsewhere. But to do this, he said, poor people must be included in national budget plans and their needs seen as investments rather than an extra state expense.

“It is possible and it is within our reach to eradicate hunger in Brazil and in African countries and any other place in the world,” he said. “[Tackling poverty] should become government policy, it should not be ad-hoc policy or something for electoral campaigns.

“Economists will not include the poor in budgets because it takes a while to give a return on the investment, but there is no other way to have poverty relief if we don’t include the poor [in policy].”

Under his eight-year presidency, Brazil’s economy grew at an average annual rate of 5%, poverty levels dropped – more than 20 million Brazilians have come out of extreme poverty since 2003 – and 20 million jobs were created. Smallholder farmers were supported with seeds and credit lines, and 50 million people benefited from the cash transfer scheme Bolsa Familia.

Lula said it is because people know what is possible that riots that have erupted across Brazil in the past few weeks.

José Graziano da Silva, Lula’s former colleague in government and now director general of the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO), told delegates: “We must look beyond the simple increase in food production. Producing more is very important, but it’s not enough. We need to address the many issues that keep people from being food secure, including lack of access to food.

“Investing in agriculture remains the single most effective way to provide opportunities for families and improve nutrition. We also need to strengthen social protection methods.”

The conference was convened by the FAO, the New Partnership for Africa’s Development and the Lula Institute under the banner Toward African renaissance: renewed partnership for a unified approach to end hunger in Africa by 2025. It concludes on Monday with a declaration apparently designed to get greater political commitment to improve agricultural productivity and address underlying social factors that contribute to poor nutrition, such as lack of access to healthcare and credit.

The declaration will reaffirm government commitments, including the 2003 Maputo declaration, and encourage more partnerships between governments, the private sector and civil society. It aims to complement, and renew commitment to, the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) to improve food security, which came out of the Maputo declaration.

In the decade since it was introduced, the two key strands of the CAADP – that African governments commit 10% of their budgets to investment in agriculture and increase productivity by 6% – have been achieved by only 10 countries.

Underpinning the conference declaration is a roadmap to achieving the 2025 target. It includes reducing the need for food aid within 10 years, eliminating stunting among children under five, doubling productivity of staple crops within five to 10 years, and contributing to the African trust fund for food security, launched at an FAO conference in Brazzaville last year.

However, as one delegate from Guinea pointed out, the timeframe to increase crop yields and cut reliance on food aid is too long if hunger is to be eradicated by 2025.

Contributions to the trust fund, which is administered by the FAO and will support efforts by African leaders to meet their CAADP commitments, proved a contentious issue.

Despite some African countries agreeing to contribute millions of dollars to the fund, which is supposed to be a catalyst for investment from the private sector, several agriculture ministers said it was tough enough trying to get money for their departments to meet the CAADP target, without having to ask their finance ministers for more.

“It doesn’t make sense,” said Robert Sichinga, Zambia’s minister of agriculture and livestock. “We have sufficient funding requirements already … the fund should not be seen as a viable proposition at this stage.” Sichinga questioned where African governments were going to find money for the fund when there was already a shortfall for agricultural programmes. He added that the mechanisms through which the fund distributes money were unclear.

However, there are reasons to be optimistic about Africa’s prospects. Many delegates said they believed that years of continued economic growth had increased confidence among leaders that, with a concentrated effort, hunger and malnutrition could be ended.

Ministers from Brazil, Vietnam, China, Angola, Malawi, Ethiopia and Niger shared with delegates the work their governments are doing to tackle hunger, and future plans such as an agricultural bank in Malawi that would “be more sympathetic” to smallholder farmers wanting to access credit

 


Government relaxes dividend tax collection plans

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By Muluken Yewondwossen   
Monday, 01 July 2013

 

Ethiopia’s government has promised to stop collecting tax on unpaid dividend to shareholders of companies. The Prime Minister, Hailemariam Desalegn, made the pledge while hosting his first National Business Conference at the UN Conference Centre. The conference focused on tax and multimodal issues. Government officials and the Prime Minister answered questions from the private sector on a number of issues.
Tax
High on the private sector agenda was the government’s demands for huge sums of money from companies and shareholders in the form of unpaid dividend profits. The private sector has long argued that the new unpaid divided tax payment system is illegal – a claim consistently denied by government officials. But at the conference, the Minister of Finance and Economic Development, Sufian Ahmed, said that the government will not demand payment of tax from unpaid dividend profit, a move that is likely to satisfy the demands of the private sector.
Heads of private companies who attended the event had not been expecting this move, because the Ethiopian Revenue and Customs Authority (ERCA) has previously refused to exempt private limited companies and their shareholders from the sudden tax levy. The tax that the ERCA claimed it was owed amounted to 10 per cent of the accumulated net profit that would be divided between company shareholders. The authority was also demanding interest and penalty charges on unpaid tax, dating back to the 2003/04 fiscal year. It has later agreed to drop its demand for interest payments and penalty charges. Under the original plan, the authority identified 1464 companies as possible payers. From these 470 companies the authority expected 816 million birr including interest and penalty.
Though finance experts have opposed the new measure saying that it has no legal framework, ERCA says that the tax proclamation gives room to implement the new tax enforcement.
Habitually, shareholders or company owners would pay ten percent tax to the authority when they apportioned their net profit, and it was not usual to impose the tax unless the company distributed the dividend to its shareholders. Many companies would leave the undistributed profit under retained earnings on their financial statement or transfer it to their capital. Shareholders are legally obliged to pay 10 per cent tax to the Authority when they collect their dividend from PLCs or share companies, or the company is expected to withhold ten percent from their dividend and pay it to ERCA.
Analysts say such a move would stifle private businesses, as it would drain off their cash flow and working capital, especially for capital-intensive types of commerce. In addition, representatives of the business community raised questions about private sector involvement in multi modal shipping services, which is now monopolised by the Ethiopian Shipping and Logistics Service.
The PM responded that the government is not crowding out the private sector, and in fact it is preparing a new law that concerns private participation. He noted that the few areas closed for now are power, telecom and foreign banking. Private sector companies also raised the idea of establishing a manufacturing bank to solve loan constraint problems for other banks and the reformation of the commercial code. Government officials stressed that current collection rates are low. They said most of the tariffs are very small, with a maximum amount of 35%.
Meanwhile, it was noted that growth in the manufacturing sector has been high in Ethiopia in past years, but tax revenues are low, accounting for just 12% of total tax income. This is lower than in other African countries, where the average is 17%.
Public Investment
“Our procurement directive is clear and it is based on a competitive manner. We use an open bid approach for our procurement procedure,” Sufian responded, when asked about the government’s procurement process. Private sector companies also raised questions about growth in public investment. Delegates at the conference – including athlete Haile Gebresellassie – claimed that public investment will influence private sector growth in the long-term.
Sufian said that government has been advised by some to minimise public investment, in the face of claims that it is damaging the private sector. “But it is basic to expand the country’s development,” he argued. According to the long serving MoFED head, public sector investment in Ethiopia is huge compared with other countries and the development in the country. “If we do not apply this it is difficult to end poverty and compete with other countries,” he added. The minister said that public investment is focused on training skilled manpower for infrastructure (road and electricity) development. “The railway sector is also the other major public investment,” he explained. According to Sufian, once finalised, this investment will significantly reduce trade logistics costs. “How ever the government is working on this project, the private sector is part of it – directly or indirectly,” he added.
Teklewold Atnafu, Governor of the National Bank of Ethiopia, classified public investment in two ways: capital budget investment and public enterprise subsidiary investment. He also confirmed that government investment has increased. In the last 11 months of this budget year, 224 billion birr was invested in different sectors. 57% of that was invested in public enterprises and the rest in the private sector. The Governor said that 90% of government loans allocated for public enterprises were for investment. He said that of the 95 billion birr loaned to the private sector, only 15% was allocated as long-term loans, while the rest was dispersed as short-term loans. He added that private banks have to contribute to long-term loan schemes. Public investment is not influencing financial demand or business activity in the private sector, according to National Bank data. Teklewold added that loans are available to the private sector from state banks for long-term investments with a 70% loan facility.
To raise funds, the government has imposed a 27% bond purchase on private banks to contribute a sufficient amount for investment and loans given by the Development Bank of Ethiopia (DBE). He said that the majority of loans from DBE for the private sector are allocated for foreign investment, suggesting local investors are not using the loan schemes.
New law
The conference also addressed complaints from the private sector about the credit scheme affecting business transactions on different markets in the country. This scheme is not related to the banking service or loan services that are considered financial business activities. Teklewold also mentioned that higher purchase is a product of banking sector. On the new law it will include on NBE, he explained that receiving goods on credit is related with financial part.  He said that the difference is between loans in kind and loans in cash. Most of the transaction especially in the major market centres in the country such as Merkato is undertaken by credit.
According to the governor, a new directive has been drafted to include the lease financing proclamation that allows the bank to control the credit system. The capital equipment lease financing and operating proclamation was amended in 1998 to allow investment in the equipment lease business. But only construction machinery lease companies are using this sector under the operating lease financial scheme. For this investment the licence will be given by the Ministry of Trade and based on the new regulations as one of the financial institutions governed by NBE. “Business transactions that include taking goods on credit is going to be included under NBE regulation,” said Teklewold.
On the discussion, private IT companies on their pat called for the government to give attention to the sector’s development growth. “Manufacturing sector is first for this transformation. The IT sector is also included in this transformation,” the PM said. “We have to expand the IT sector and we are ready to discuss with the private sector to expand it,” he added. “Government investment in infrastructure is a must to boost the economy,” he clarified. He said that the trade logistics price is higher in Ethiopia than elsewhere in the world. “Due to that we have to invest in this sector,” he said, in relation to public investment in the transport sector. “The other sector we have to invest in is the power sector, which is one of the back bones to boost the investment sector.
These kinds of investment are our only option to boost manufacturing,” he said. He also said that the government’s intention is to transform the private sector (trade and service) to the manufacturing sector. “The government investment is not the priority. Our anxiety is how we include the private sector to manufacturing,” Hailemariam said. “FDI is basic but the private sector has to transform from the current service and trade sector to manufacturing,” he added.

New Agreement Enhances Ethio-Djibouti Power Exchange

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By Bewket Abebe,  7 July 2013

Ethiopia will sell electricity to seven neighbouring countries once the Grand Renaissance Dam project is complete

Mohamed Ali Youssouf, left, minister of Foreign Affairs & International Cooperation of Djibouti and Tedrose Adhanom (PhD), minister of Foreign Affairs, signed the agreement that will enable Ethiopia to export additional electric power to neighbouring Djibouti.

Ethiopia and Djibouti concluded an agreement for a second two billion dollar electrical power system interconnection, during the 12th Joint Ministerial Meeting.

The signing ceremony was held last Wednesday, at the Addis Hilton Hotel, by the Ethiopian Foreign Minister Tedrose Adhanom (PhD) and his Djiboutian counterpart, Mohamed Ali Youssouf.

The transmission line, which covers areas from Semera, in Ethiopia’s Afar Regional State, to Jaba, Djibouti, will be a 230kV electric power transmission project, similar to the first transmission line. It will allow Djibouti to import between 35Mw to 70Mw of electricity from Ethiopia, according to the agreement.

Djibouti will, in actuality, not import more than 50Mw of electricity, according to the Ethiopian Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

“Though we are interested in selling electric power to different countries in the horn, including Djibouti, there is sometimes higher electricity consumption in the Dire-Dawa area. Because of this, they would most likely import only up to 50Mw,” an official from the Ministry, who requested anonymity, told Fortune.

Both countries will be tasked with seeking financing for the project, says Suleiman Dedefo, Ethiopian ambassador to Djibouti.

“We have regularly been doing the task for them. But now, we are expected to do it together,” he added.

Eighty percent of the financing for the first power transmission line, which cost 1.5 billion dollars to construct, was secured from the African Development Bank (AfDB), with the balance being contributed by the two countries. The line will meet 60pc of Djibouti’s power demand, with Ethiopia earning up to 1.5 million dollars a month from the exchange, at a rate of 70 dollars a KWH.

The joint ministerial meeting was also intended to consolidate and guarantee port utilisation between the two parties. The agreement allows Ethiopian Shipping & Logistics Service Enterprise (ESLSE) to continue operating all port activities from Djibouti’s shores.

The Djiboutian, however, want to ensure that they receive their share of the transport service.

“Whenever there is a tender, we have to take our sizes into account. We still need a 30pc quota,” Mohamed Aden Cheikh, director of Operations at the Djibouti Ports & Free Zone Authority, told Fortune.

Ethiopia, however, is adamantly resisting the quote put forth by Djibouti.

“We cannot do that and there can in no way be an excuse over it,” Suleiman told Fortune.

The two parties have also reached an agreement to develop the capacity of Djibouti Port, which is becoming very crowded, Suleiman added.

Until 2008, the transit transport system between Ethiopia and Djibouti was of a uni-modal nature. All Ethiopian cargo in transit through the Port of Djibouti, whether import or export, was dealt with in the same manner – stuffed, unstuffed, loaded and, finally, unloaded at the port. An overhaul of the difficult and time-consuming system was long overdue, according to Temesgen Yihunie, Maritime Logistics Officer with the ESLSE.

“We are exerting all our efforts to keep Ethiopia’s import and export happening through Djibouti,” said Yacin Houssein Douale, director of Bilateral Relations with the Djibouti Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation.

Three new ports would be built in Djibouti over the next 10 years, Yasein told Fortune.

“Our life is interdependent and our destiny is intertwined,” Tedrose said.

At the moment, Ethiopia also exports electric power to Sudan- with the World Bank providing a 41 million dollar soft loan to the Ethio-Sudan transmission line project for the test run of the electric power exporting systems between the two countries, last year. After the completion of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, Ethiopia plans to export power to seven neighbouring countries, including Egypt, Sudan, Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, South Sudan and Djibouti.


New Directive to Improve Farmer Input Purchasing

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By Yetneberk Tadele

The current situation, which sees different regions implementing different strategies, is problematic in meeting farmers‘ demands

The Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) is issuing a directive for credit sales of agricultural inputs through microfinance institutions.

Currently, different regions have their own approaches to selling inputs to the farmers. Tigray offers credit sales to any farmers that cannot afford it, while Amhara does it only for those farmers in dry areas. The Southern region requires 25pc to 50pc down payments, while Oromia accepts only cash.

“Such different strategies create many problems in meeting the farmers’ demands and collecting money,” Teshome Lakew, agricultural inputs marketing directorate director, told Fortune.

The draft document states that the inconsistent credit system has made it difficult for farmers to use inputs appropriately.

The directive will end cooperatives and their unions involvement in credit schemes, although they will continue to be involved in assessing demand and supply of inputs, in collaboration with the wereda agriculture bureaus.

According to the directive, the microfinance institutions of each region will take the responsibility of giving the credit. They will allocate the money for this purpose and, if they have a shortage, they will get more from the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE). The private banks are also encouraged to participate in providing the credit, the bill states.

The MoA is currently working with the Oromia Cooperative Bank, in order to be engaged in the service, according to Seyfu Assefa, agricultural inputs loan senior expert at the MoA.

Oromia, Tigray, Amhara and South saving and credit institutions will be in charge of the new credit scheme, says Seyfu The Cooperative Bank of Oromia is trying the scheme as a pilot project, in Bokoji and Assasa, Oromia region, according to Belete Wakbehka, credit relationship management director of the bank. The bank, according to him, gives the credit for this purpose, at 12pc interest, if the farmers have land and can have a savings account at the bank.

“The new credit system will enable regions to not have to engage in such kind of responsibility,” Teshome said. “It will also enable unions to focus only on distributing the inputs, rather than the cash flow.”

“It is a great relief for us,” Kassa Mame, a farmer from Adama town, in Oromia Region, told Fortune. “Getting the inputs on credit helps us to use all our resources and improve productivity.”

Buying fertiliser, chemicals and improved seeds in cash is a big challenge on farming activity, he says.

 

 



Electro-Dollar an Ethiopian Future?

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By Girma Feyisa

The Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), which is under construction on the major tributary of Nile, is expected to generate total revenues of two million dollars per day for Ethiopia.

The Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), under construction on Abay River, has lately gained front page attention in print media. It is incomprehensible why the Egyptians chose to make an issue out of the project two years after the construction began and when the whole world already knew about it. As a matter of fact,Nile Basin development has been a major concern, involving political, historical, social and economic matters, for the riparian countries from times immemorial.

Last week, theNileBasinand the impacts of the GERD, in particular, were the subject of an academic discussion at the right place – the Addis Abeba University (AAU) – and at the right time – when the African Union (AU) is still in a celebratory mood of Pan-Africanism. Scholars made presentations assessing the problems and the opportunities available to be seized, before it is too late.

Scholars, including Yilma Sileshi (PhD) and Yacob Arsano (PhD), who are well versed in every angle of the development of the Nile, have been arguing convincingly that the GERD will not only benefit Ethiopia and its poor people, but other countries across its borders also. The financial return of up to two million Euros a day, however, may sound too farfetched for many.

But, there is a stark truth beyond any germ of scepticism that we all know. The issue of the dam has engaged the scholars of the higher institutes of intellectuals. Cynicism and wishful thinking aside, bringing the subject forward for discussion and assessment by the relevant professionals of the country is, by itself, a step in the right direction.

Kofi Annan, the former United Nations’ Secretary-General, expressed his view, last week, that resources like oil and natural gas have become causes of civil strife and conflict inSierra Leone,Liberia, the Democratic Republic Congo,SudanandNigeria. The quest for the petrodollar has caused much blood to be shed. The natural resources ought to have availed the opportunity to mutually benefit all of the people in these countries.

Ethiopia’s renewable natural resource, water, is a blessing, not only in terms of the electro-dollar that it may fetch, but in the socioeconomic real transformation and the positive environmental impacts that it may have on climate change.

The university community shoulders the responsibility of readjusting its line of focus, if necessary, in streamlining its studies and training schedules to be transmitted to the youth. Only then can they ensure that the teaching is relevant to the electricity resource to be used in appliances, from large-scale industries to the electric ovens in the kitchens of every household.

Electricity is a self-protected energy resource. It cannot be stolen by robbers who break into the pipelines and take it away. Knowledgeable intruders may at times tamper with transmission lines, looking for the intrinsic values of the metal bars. But, these thieves can easily be controlled by technical devises that set off alarms when trespassed.

As president Yoweri Museveni explained to foreign reporters, the GERD is also a means to protect trees and encourage the restoration of vegetations. This process, in turn, will help to create a conducive environment for the creation of rain, which could enrich theNilewaters and offer downstream countries benefit from the water reserve. TheNileRiverand its banks are known to have been fertile grounds for the ancient Egyptian civilisation, which was intertwined with ancientEthiopiahistory too.

The two countries also shared the same religions. The water, as a natural resource, and its optimised usage by all riparian countries, not only boosts the required power for the growing industries in both countries, but also ensures a close scrutiny and focus on the impact of climate change.

 


Ethiopia’s sesame seed trade with China – a partnership of equals?

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Ethiopia uses sesame seeds to repay loans on Chinese-built infrastructure. But what are the long-term benefits to farmers?

 

Ethiopia AU headquarters
Eastern promise … the Chinese-built African Union building is a visible symbol of Ethiopia-China relations. Photograph: Jacoline Prinsloo/GCIS/EPA
Tom Levitt                                   
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Wednesday 10 July 2013

It seems unlikely that many Ethiopian farmers sat down and thought about what Chinese consumers want to eat for breakfast before planting their crops. Yet a surge in the eastward export of sesame seed over the past decade has created an unexpected interdependency between the two countries.

 

In less than a decade, Ethiopia has jumped from being a minor producer of sesame (38,000 tonnes in 2002, according to the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organisation) to the largest producer in Africa and fourth largest in the world (320,000 tonnes in 2011, according to the most recent data available). During the same period, China has switched from being a net exporter to a net importer, providing the main destination for Ethiopia’s sesame seeds.

 

Sesame seeds perhaps rank among the lesser known of China’s growing food imports, lacking the headline-grabbing attention of Brazilian soyabeans. Black sesame paste, eaten at breakfast, lunch and dinner, is a popular snack among many southern Chinese people. It is made by mixing roast and ground sesame seeds with sesame oil; a sweeter version can be made by adding sugar or honey. Its use as a popular baking ingredient aside, sesame seed can be used as an oil or a high-protein feed for poultry.

 

Ethiopia has long produced sesame, but as China’s economic ties with the country and elsewhere in Africa have grown, so has seed production. For Ethiopia, Chinese ties have meant an increase in Chinese manufacturing imports, and access to finance and new infrastructure. In January, the China Development Bank provided a $25m loan to finance agricultural enterprises. In May, the Export-Import Bank of China agreed to provide $3.3bn to build a railway from Ethiopia to Negad port in Djibouti.

 

In return, Ethiopia has effectively been using sesame seeds to repay Chinese loans. Foreign currency earned by selling sesame is passed over to the state-owned Commercial Bank of Ethiopia and used to secure and repay loans provided by China, according to Deborah Bräutigam, senior research fellow at the International Food Policy Research Institute. The relationship is likely to have started in 2005-06 as a shortage of sesame seeds in China and a favourable tariff policy (set by China) kickstarted the rise in Ethiopian exports, which are regulated largely by the state-owned Ethiopian commodities exchange.

 

Bräutigam says China is unlikely to have stipulated that Ethiopia export its sesame, which is now its second most valuable export after coffee. “The ‘guaranteed supply’ of whatever export is already going to China is simply the mechanism for ensuring repayment of the loan,” she says.

 

However, the growth of sesame seed production on the back of Chinese demand is such that traders expect Ethiopia to earn $2bn a year from exports of seeds, spices and pulses by 2015, according to reports.

 

Among Ethiopian farmers the main beneficiaries appear to be smallholders, with sesame largely grown as a cash crop on farms producing less than 400kg a year, according to Jo Wijnands, a researcher at the Agricultural Economics Research Institute.

 

“Production has gone up very quickly,” says Wijnands, “but I don’t think the huge increases have come through efficiency of production, but with much more land being given over to it. The farmers have seen good prices from the previous year, so they have expanded their area. Demand could change quickly, but I don’t think it’ll change much in the next five years because of demand from China.”

 

You could argue that sesame seed farmers are generating cash for themselves, at the same time as helping to finance Ethiopia’s infrastructure. However, Wijnands is sceptical about the long-term benefit of the increased trade. He says there is little evidence of improvements in agricultural techniques in smallholder sesame seed production. An Oxfam report from 2011 said more than 600,000 smallholder farmers produced sesame seeds in Ethiopia, but still faced difficulties including seed shortages, poor product quality and access to finance.

 

Recent news of a Chinese shoemaker promising a $2bn investment in a new manufacturing hub near Addis Ababa, the capital, is perhaps more indicative of the benefits Ethiopia hopes to reap from its closer alliance with China. As the Ethiopian prime minister, Hailemariam Desalegn, made clear in a speech during his recent visit to Beijing, his country does not want a lopsided relationship.

 

“Africa should not be a net exporter of primary commodities and net importer of capital goods whether from China or elsewhere … China has both the responsibility and the incentive, as it has already begun to do, to turn Africa’s resource curse into a blessing that will further enhance the mutual interest of both partners.”

 


Sudan Mediates between Ethiopia and Egypt on Ethiopian Dam Construction

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      Issue #: 2996, Issue Date: 13th July, 2013
The Sudanese Agriculture and Irrigation Minister, Dr. Abdulhalim Al-Mutaafi said that his country is supportive of the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam which is being constructed at a place only about 40 Kms from his country’s border.
The Minister said the rationale behind the support of Sudan to the construction of the Ethiopian dam is that the dam is a “model “of development in the region.
He also said that it is better to build dams in Ethiopia rather than in Sudan or Egypt because of topographical reasons. “The level of evaporation in Sudan is higher than in Ethiopia and dam water reservoirs in Sudan and Egypt would be exposed to a higher temperature as they would be in flat lands while in Ethiopia reservoirs are built in deep gorges.”
Al-Mutaafi also pointed out that the tripartite dam investigative committee established by Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt showed that the dam construction in its first report presents positive developments of the dam construction.
Regarding the Egyptian concern over the dam construction in Ethiopia, The Minister said that it is political issue and a technical one. “Some Egyptian politicians have used the issue as a political instrument to pressurize their opponents.” Otherwise it is known that the building of the dam is beneficiary for downstream countries as it enables them to receive regulated free water, he said.
Al-Mutaafi said that the dam construction should be executed with a sense of cooperation and mutual benefit for Sudan and Egypt which badly need the Nile water for agricultural development and on the other hand, Ethiopia needs it to generate electric power. Otherwise, nobody will benefit from individual utilization of the waters, he added.
According to the Minister, Sudan has also been working to normalize relations between Ethiopian and Egypt by repeatedly telling Egyptian brothers that the construction of the dam would have common benefits.
Concerning the agricultural development in Sudan, the Minister indicated that his country is now emerging as one of the major exporting countries of agricultural products and livestock in Africa.
For example, this year, 2013, the agricultural export has increased to 2 billion USD from only 1,200,000,000, he said.
In 2012 the country exported 4 million live sheep to various countries and indicated that Sudan is becoming an agricultural investment spot for international business in the area. This export volume is expected to grow to 5 million this year.
According to the Minister, 33 percent of Sudanese land is arable and out of these, 18 million hectares have been developed so far and Sudanese agricultural production is expected to grow by 20 per cent this year.

Agriculture and manufacturing offer opportunities for African trade

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UN report recommends ‘developmental regionalism’, with African countries selling much more food and manufactured goods to each other

  -  guardian.co.uk

MDG trade in Africa

An employee at a mosquito net factory in Arusha, Tanzania, in 2004. Photograph: Gianluigi Guercia/AFP/Getty Images

African countries should emulate Asian models of regional development that encompass industrial policy and investment in infrastructure to boost trade among themselves, a UN report recommended on Thursday.

The UN Conference on Trade and Development (Unctad) pointed to the greater Mekong sub-region project in south-east Asia as a model of a strategic development programme that could bring dividends for Africa.

“The Mekong sub-region project was driven by the Asian Development Bank. What we found interesting was that it went beyond trade to include a common industrial policy, common investment policy and pulled up the poorest countries. We thought it was something African countries can learn from,” said Taffere Tesfachew, an Unctad director.

Unctad calls the approach “developmental regionalism”, which goes beyond co-operation on trade to take in investment, research and development as well as policies aimed at accelerating regional industry and infrastructure, such as building better networks of roads and railways.

Short-term opportunities for regional trade are to be found particularly in agriculture, the report said. Africa has about 27% of the world’s arable land. Yet many African countries import food and agricultural products from outside the continent. From 2007 to 2011, 37 countries were net food importers and 22 were net importers of agricultural raw materials. Only about 17% of the continent’s world trade in food and live animals took place within Africa.

But the greater long-term opportunity, and bigger challenge, is to improve industry to provide the goods for which regional trade typically increases demand, according to the report. Africa accounts for only 1% of global manufacturing. Unctad suggested that if national markets could be integrated, there should be enough customers to support the manufacture of cars, machines and electronic goods.

African countries have sought to exploit the benefits of regional trade since gaining independence in the 1960s. The most recent manifestation of this desire came at the African Union summit in Addis Ababa in January 2012, when leaders renewed a commitment to boost intra-African trade and fast track the establishment of a continental free-trade area.

Regional trade remains weak on the continent. From 2007 to 2011, the average share of intra-African exports was 11% of total exports, compared with 50% in Asia, 21% in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 70% in Europe. The low levels of regional trade are attributed to focusing more on eliminating trade barriers and less on developing productive capacities – particularly of the private sector – needed for trade.

“Success in boosting intra-African trade will depend largely on the extent to which countries are able to foster entrepreneurship and build supply capacity, establish a credible mechanism for dialogue between the state and business, build regional value chains, implement existing regional trade agreements, rethink their approach to regional integration, and maintain peace and security,” said the report.

Given the weakness of the private sector in many African countries, public investment is needed to stimulate private-sector growth – not through ownership as in the 1970s, but through credit lines and development banks, Tesfachew said. That approach is being deployed by Ethiopia and Rwanda.

There are attempts to build regional trading blocs, and eight exist – which is part of the problem as different blocs have different rules. To complicate matters, some countries belong to more than one bloc.

The Southern African Development Community, which includes the continent’s economic powerhouse, South Africa, is seen as the most advanced bloc. There are plans to bring together SADC, the East African Community, and the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa into one bloc, and some countries have introduced one-stop border crossings – such as at Chirundu on the Zambia-Zimbabwe border – to ease the passage of goods.

But provisions such as rules of origin have proved a barrier to integration. Designed to ensure that only members of a preferential trade arrangement benefit from tariff preferences, they can end up inhibiting trade. In garments, for example, both the fabric and the garment have to be manufactured in a SADC country. But with little textile manufacture in the region, the rules limit trade in garments.

Peace and stability are prerequisites for boosting intra-African trade. Conflict in Ivory Coast, for example, reduced trade within the West African Economic and Monetary Union by about 60% between 1999 to 2007, the report said.


Ethiopia’s population projected to reach 94 mln after ten years

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-    Urban population to be over 20 percent

-    Some hundred thousands accounted as stateless

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Six years since the last nationwide population census was conducted, the Central Statistics Agency (CSA) has predicted that the population of the country will be 94.4 million by the end of 2017, in the medium case scenario.

This year the population is estimated at 85.9 million, with the male and female ratios remaining proportional.
Samia Zekaria, director general of CSA, and Birattu Yigezu, her deputy, told journalists on Friday that although the projection has three variant scenarios, Ethiopia considers the medium status as the final projection for reference. Based on the “high variant” estimation (where death and birth rates, migration and urbanization are estimated to change in high variations), the total number people in Ethiopia will amass to 95.2 million, with the low variant estimating a population of 92.3 million.
According to the 2007 census the population was 73.8 million, so an increase of  20 million people is predicted.
By the end of 2017, the urban population of the country is estimated to be 19.2 million, accounting for 20 percent of the entire nation. According to Samia, the urbanization process is expected to increase in regional cities and towns, rather than in the capital Addis Ababa. However, the level of life expectancy is not expected to change significantly in the coming ten years. “Studies have indicated that very rapid increase in life expectation is not possible,” says the population projection report. However, the inter-censal survey (a census conducted between previous and future censuses) carried out last year, puts the life expectancy for males at 58 and 61 for females.
In related news, 117,000 people have been found stateless in the country, as they are located between the boundaries of the Afar, Oromia and Somali regional states, leading the CSA to conduct special reports for these areas.
According to Samia, the highly disputed census results of the Amhara Regional State population was the result of an over-estimation of the growth rate projection. This has been corrected by the inter-censal survey and the current population is 19.6 million, projected to reach 21.2 million by 2017.
The population projections, according to the report, have been made using the component method, where births, deaths, migration and urbanization are projected separately for each of the regions, then summed up to represent the population figure for the entire country.


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